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Look On The Bright Side But Look Both Ways


‘Always look on the bright side of life…’ as the song goes. Pretty good advice from the point of having a positive outlook on life but don’t throw caution to the wind, particularly in the field of personal finance. Being over-cautious on the other hand can mean going nowhere at all so one should aim to find the right balance. Everyone needs to make money to live. Having made some money we then have to find ways to get that money working so that one day we won’t have to work. There are many ways to make money. Some may seem so appealing we are tempted to ignore the possible downside. There is usually a ‘gold rush’ going on somewhere. If it is not gold itself, it may be technology stocks, property or any asset which seems to offer an easy way to make quick money. Let’s look at some of the ways fortunes can be made – and lost!

Cash

Accumulating large sums of cash in deposit accounts is a safe way to get rich – slowly. Everyone should hold a healthy cash reserve to cover short term needs and contingencies. But there are pitfalls if you are holding large deposits, for example:
- Are you covered by a depositors’ protection scheme? The US and UK have limited guarantees; deposits in Indonesia are backed by the government but some countries such as Singapore offer no protection.
- Is there a risk of the currency of your deposit falling in value? This does not just apply to the Rupiah but in recent times the USD which fell by as much as 40% against the GBP, Euro and AUD.
- Are you comfortable with your money not growing in ‘real’ terms, that is, purchasing power?

Stocks, shares, equities or funds that invest in them

This is the essential asset class for long term growth as it represents the capital markets of the world. Companies from MacDonald’s to Microsoft and Airbus are in business to make real money for their shareholders. If you don’t own shares in one form or another you are ‘out of the game’.
But you must be aware of the downside.
- Equities generally rise in the long term but can have sharp reverses in the short term.
- ‘Bear markets’, that is, falling markets can sometimes last for long periods, such as from March 2000 to March 2003.
- Beware of investing in one stock. You might pick an Enron. Nor should you go for one sector because it is the ‘flavour of the day’. Those who went too late into technology stocks lost up to 80%.

Savings and pension plans

Few expats in Bali can look forward to pensions from their home countries so it is essential to have some form of private pension plan based in a safe offshore jurisdiction. A grim future faces those without a plan. But for someone without a steady income, committing to a long term plan can prove costly if contributions are not maintained.

Property

This has become the darling of investors in recent years as property values have soared in many parts of the world. Some are abandoning other forms of investment and pouring everything into real estate. I believe everyone should have some property but as with every other investment there is a danger in putting all one’s eggs into the same basket. Here are some of the downside aspects:
- Right now there is a property boom. Booms can be followed by busts.
- Property prices tend to fall as interest rates rise.
- Rental income cannot be guaranteed and an empty property can be expensive to run.
- If you suddenly need cash you cannot sell a bathroom.
- You may not have legal certainty in some jurisdictions.

Your own business

This is the dream of many; all around Bali we can see examples of those who have fulfilled that dream! But it is not all plain sailing as many of them will testify. Bill Gates may have made it but before you try to emulate him consider:
- Most small businesses (up to 80%) fail within the first five years.
- Being a successful chef, teacher, pilot or fashion designer is one thing, managing a business is another as it requires very different skills.
- Before you go into a business venture write down all the things that could possibly go wrong. If you are in the tourist industry that should not be too difficult!

But don’t let the downside put you off!

Making mistakes is part of the learning process. Few people succeed without first failing. But with a little bit of planning and foresight those failures can be avoided or minimized. Don’t be afraid to save, invest or go it alone because of the pitfalls. Just be aware of them and keep looking on the bright side!

Colin Bloodworth is a senior adviser with Financial Partners International. The views expressed are his own. No investment decisions should be taken without proper advice. If you have any questions you may contact the writer at 021 520 8099 or colin.bloodworth@financial-partners.biz.